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When OGs Disagree With the Crowd

What sentiment divergence reveals about Bitcoin turning points

Most sentiment data treats the market like one big group.

But not all sentiment is created equal.

After digging through a large dataset, I started comparing Bitcoin OGs to the average participant, even tracking how their language shifts across cycles.

What stood out immediately were the moments of divergence.

At key points—tops, bottoms, and transitions—OGs consistently start to disagree with the crowd.

Let’s examine some of these periods and think about how we can use this information in the future.

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